NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its official winter outlook for 2024-25 on Thursday, and it looks like a weak La Niña event will develop this winter and affect weather patterns. FOX Weather Meteorologist Bob Van Dillen breaks down the latest in reports.
NEW YORK – Winter will be here before we know it. The emergence of La Niña could impact the types of winter weather conditions seen in the United States.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) on Thursday released its official 2024-25 winter outlook, analyzing various temperature and precipitation trends for the upcoming season, as well as expected changes in drought conditions across the country. .
CPC forecasters said they still expect La Niña conditions to develop in the fall, influencing temperature and precipitation trends across the country. However, forecasters say that any upcoming La Niña weather is likely to be weak and short-lived.
Generally, a La Niña pattern means wetter, cooler weather in the northern tier of the United States, and warmer, drier weather in the southern tier. This appears to be in line with CPC forecasters’ winter predictions.
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Temperature outlookThis figure shows the winter temperature outlook for 2024-25.(FOX Weather) The winter weather forecast predicts above-average temperatures across most of the United States, including much of the southwest and eastern United States, the central United States, and the entire eastern United States from the southeast to the mid-Atlantic, northeast and New England. It has become.
“We’re still going to see warmer temperatures in the South, but maybe not as much as we get to the northern Great Lakes,” FOX Weather meteorologist Bob Van Dillen said. This is a La Niña phenomenon that will continue to develop, and its strength will be a little weaker and its duration will be a little shorter. ”
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The Gulf of Mexico is also expected to remain warm.
“This will keep temperatures warm across the Gulf Coast all the way to the Atlantic side of Florida,” Van Dillen continued.
CPC said temperatures are likely to be above average in northern Alaska, but below average temperatures are likely in the southern part of the state.
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Precipitation forecast
This figure shows the winter precipitation outlook for 2024-25.
(FOX Weather)
According to CPC’s seasonal precipitation outlook, the probability of below-average precipitation totals is increasing across much of the Southern Tier, from the Southwest to the Southern Plains, along the Gulf Coast, and into the Southeast.
“This winter, the emerging La Niña event is expected to influence future winter patterns, particularly precipitation forecasts,” said John Gottschalk, director of the Climate Prediction Center’s operational forecast division.
CPC said parts of Southeast Alaska and the Alaska Panhandle region could see below-average precipitation totals this winter.
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However, CPC said the Southwest and Southern Plains regions are most likely to see below-average precipitation.
Above-normal precipitation is expected in parts of the Pacific Northwest, the northern Rocky Mountains, parts of the Great Lakes region, and western and northern Alaska this winter.
“Also, major cities in the Northeast could once again experience below-average snowfall,” Van Diren said. “So the following is probably most likely. So if you want a big snow machine in New York City, go back to 1995-1996. That was a weak La Niña.”
Farmer’s Almanac’s winter outlook predicts “a lot of snow, rain, sleet, and ice”
Drought outlook
This graphic shows the drought outlook through January 31st.
(FOX Weather)
The drought situation in the United States will also remain a concern until at least the end of January. The Chinese Communist Party has stressed that the drought is likely to continue or spread across much of the country’s southern regions.
Drought is likely to continue across large swathes of the country, from the Southwest to the Plains, Deep South, and parts of the Great Lakes region.
CPC said it expects drought to occur in parts of the Southeast as well as other parts of the Southwest, including the Four Corners region.
